St. Johnstone 1-3 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.28
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
13%
6.8
X/2
14%
4.48
X/X
10%
4.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.94
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
0.95/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.98
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 71%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.8 Crosses 22.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 0.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
205 Passes 344
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
16.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
23.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
22.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
21.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.07.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-3
AWAY Hibernian
0.82 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
275 Passes 295
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat St. Johnstone 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 49% of the ball to Hibernian's 51%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.82 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.00 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Hibernian?

St. Johnstone 1-3 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 29%, draw 27%, Hibernian 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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