Hibernian 1-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
13%
17.05
X/1
16%
3.59
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
7%
5.17
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
12%
9.65
2/X
6%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.49/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.58
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 66%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.7 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 240
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
23.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
22.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
21.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.07.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
15.05.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-2
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.95 xG 0.62
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
406 Passes 133
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Hibernian 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernian had 71% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 29%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernian and 0.67 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs St. Johnstone?

Hibernian 1-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 47%, draw 26%, St. Johnstone 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
6 Apr 2024
17:00 Kilmarnock vs Ross County Analysis →
17:00 St. Mirren vs Hearts Analysis →
17:00 Dundee FC vs Motherwell Analysis →