St. Mirren vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-0
HT 1-0
Hearts
İKP
2-2
HT 2-0
Hearts
İKP
0-2
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-0
HT 1-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-1
HT 1-0
Hearts
İKP
St. Mirren 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts squeezed past St. Mirren 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Hearts made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Mirren had 59% of the ball to Hearts's 41%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.89 to 2.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hearts's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 1.00 for Hearts.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Hearts?
St. Mirren 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 35%, draw 29%, Hearts 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.