Dundee FC 2-3 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
20%
4.87
X/2
7%
6.43
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.64
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.28/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.22
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
249 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 63%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.6 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
262 Passes 206
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.03.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.11.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
28.08.2021 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
14.08.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-3
AWAY Motherwell
0.47 xG 2.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
234 Passes 252
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past Dundee FC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 47% of the ball to Motherwell's 53%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.47 to 2.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Motherwell's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee FC and 1.00 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Dundee FC 2-3 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 41%, draw 28%, Motherwell 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
6 Apr 2024
17:00 Kilmarnock vs Ross County Analysis →
17:00 Hibernian vs St. Johnstone Analysis →
17:00 St. Mirren vs Hearts Analysis →