Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 6 Apr 2024

Kilmarnock
1-0 HT 0-0
Ross County
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Kilmarnock vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
8%
11.85
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
6%
10.1
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.25
Value flag · 2/X at 18.25 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 19%
+11% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.23/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.66
-3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
344 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 67%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.5 Crosses 17.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Kilmarnock vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ross County
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
214 Passes 184
62% Pass Accuracy 57%
21 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
28.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
22.10.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
20.08.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-0
AWAY Ross County
0.98 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
246 Passes 158
70% Pass Accuracy 55%
25 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock squeezed past Ross County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 56% of the ball to Ross County's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.98 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Ross County?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 54%, draw 27%, Ross County 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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