Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts and Kilmarnock traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Hearts's favour, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.43.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Hearts against 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Hearts 1 - 1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hearts 43%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.