Motherwell vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Motherwell
İKP
0-1
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
1-0
HT 1-0
Motherwell
İKLK
2-1
HT 2-1
St. Mirren
İKP
1-0
HT 1-0
Motherwell
İKP
0-1
HT 0-1
Motherwell
İKP
Motherwell 1-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Motherwell had 58% of the ball to St. Mirren's 42%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.83 to 1.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motherwell and 0.67 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Motherwell 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 41%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.