Aberdeen 2-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
17%
3.58
X/2
10%
11.0
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
9.48
2/X
5%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.70
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.2 Crosses 17.1
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ross County
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.72 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
263 Passes 230
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
24.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
14.04.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
02.01.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
03.09.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-1
AWAY Ross County
0.71 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
279 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Ross County 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aberdeen had 50% of the ball to Ross County's 50%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aberdeen and 0.33 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Ross County?

Aberdeen 2-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 55%, draw 22%, Ross County 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5
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