St. Johnstone 1-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.54
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
8%
5.76
X/2
14%
4.82
X/X
13%
3.85
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.93/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.75
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.8 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
265 Passes 229
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.04.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
26.01.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
02.10.2021 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-2
AWAY Dundee FC
1.28 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
214 Passes 192
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC nicked a narrow win over St. Johnstone 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 53% of the ball to Dundee FC's 47%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.17 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

St. Johnstone 1-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 31%, draw 31%, Dundee FC 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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