Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Aberdeen
İKP
Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen cruised past Motherwell 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Aberdeen had 62% of the ball to Motherwell's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.58 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aberdeen and 1.33 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 50%, draw 24%, Motherwell 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.