St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-1
HT 1-1
St. Mirren
İKP
St. Mirren 5-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren swept aside Kilmarnock 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; St. Mirren found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Mirren had 42% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 58%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.62 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Mirren and 2.00 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren 5-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 38%, draw 31%, Kilmarnock 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.