St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-1
HT 1-1
St. Mirren
İKP
0-2
HT 0-2
Kilmarnock
İKP
0-0
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKP
St. Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Mirren had 50% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.53 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
St. Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 41%, draw 26%, Kilmarnock 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.