St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
The preview numbers (40% / 31% / 29%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 50% to 50% in St. Mirren's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.53 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for St. Mirren against 1.67 for Kilmarnock.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 40%, draw 31%, Kilmarnock 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.