Ross County 2-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.02
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
16%
5.94
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.3
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.49
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.4 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
238 Passes 226
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.12.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
24.10.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
11.12.2021 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.10.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-5 HT 0-4 Ross County Ross County İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
2-0
AWAY Dundee FC
1.43 xG 0.66
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
124 Passes 321
51% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County beat Dundee FC 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Ross County made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ross County had 35% of the ball to Dundee FC's 65%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ross County and 1.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Dundee FC?

Ross County 2-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ross County 40%, draw 24%, Dundee FC 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ross County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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