Hibernian 2-0 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 Sep 2024

Hibernian
2-0 HT 1-0
St. Johnstone
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hibernian vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.0
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
12%
3.82
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
9%
5.7
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
11%
8.21
2/X
7%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hibernian v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.45/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.28
-19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
26.0 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hibernian vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
06.04.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
16.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
23.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
22.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
21.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

Hibernian 2-0 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-0
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.61 xG 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
325 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian got the better of St. Johnstone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hibernian had 52% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 48%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.61 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.17 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs St. Johnstone?

Hibernian 2-0 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 46%, draw 26%, St. Johnstone 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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