Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-1
HT 1-1
St. Mirren
İKP
0-2
HT 0-2
Kilmarnock
İKP
Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock beat St. Mirren 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 47% of the ball to St. Mirren's 53%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.49 to 0.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.83 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.