St. Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2025

St. Johnstone
1-1 HT 1-0
Hibernian
📅02/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

St. Johnstone vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.35
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
7.35
X/2
15%
4.62
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.78
2/X
11%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
1.00/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.98
-23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
234 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.3 Crosses 21.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

St. Johnstone vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
231 Passes 322
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
27.04.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
06.04.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
16.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
23.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
22.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Hibernian couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Hibernian?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 31%, draw 26%, Hibernian 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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