Aberdeen 1-2 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
7%
9.63
X/X
14%
5.18
2/1
10%
23.4
2/2
7%
7.35
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.60/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.42
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 66%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.0 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ross County
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 248
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
19.05.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
02.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
24.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-2
AWAY Ross County
1.55 xG 0.80
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
387 Passes 170
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
37 Box Touches 20
43 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County squeezed past Aberdeen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Aberdeen carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 66% of the ball to Ross County's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.55 to 0.80 — on chances, Aberdeen could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aberdeen and 0.67 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Ross County?

Aberdeen 1-2 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 56%, draw 24%, Ross County 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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