Hearts 1-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2025

Hearts
1-0 HT 1-0
Motherwell
📅02/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.66/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
+15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 67%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
26.6 Crosses 21.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hearts vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 1.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
448 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 3-1 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
17.02.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
11.11.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.09.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.02.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.11.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP

Hearts 1-0 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-0
AWAY Motherwell
1.97 xG 1.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
465 Passes 203
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts nicked a narrow win over Motherwell 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hearts had 65% of the ball to Motherwell's 35%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.97 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hearts and 1.50 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Motherwell?

Hearts 1-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hearts 48%, draw 25%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5
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