Dundee FC 1-2 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Jan 2025

Dundee FC
1-2 HT 0-0
Dundee United
📅02/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee FC vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.47
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
12%
6.58
X/2
10%
5.16
X/X
12%
4.71
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.17
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee FC v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.39/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.19
+37% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.9 Crosses 25.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Dundee FC vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
205 Passes 228
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 2-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
09.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.09.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.12.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
08.11.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dundee United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Dundee United?

Dundee FC 1-2 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 38%, draw 25%, Dundee United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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