Dundee United 2-2 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.71
Over 2.5
55%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.09
6+ Goals
13%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
18%
5.02
X/2
8%
6.18
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
19%
4.53
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.29
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 66%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.8 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dundee FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 169
68% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 2-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
01.02.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.09.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.12.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
08.11.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
30.08.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 6-2 HT 4-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
2-2
AWAY Dundee FC
2.21 xG 2.37
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
141 Passes 311
58% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United and Dundee FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Dundee United had 37% of the ball to Dundee FC's 63%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.21 to 2.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundee United and 0.83 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Dundee United 2-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 39%, draw 25%, Dundee FC 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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