Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.83
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
34.5
X/1
9%
3.46
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
4%
12.2
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
4%
30.0
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-14.9pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
2.72/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.72
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
571 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 68%
44.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
28.5 Crosses 14.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kilmarnock
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.26 xG 1.32
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
565 Passes 140
85% Pass Accuracy 59%
37 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-5 HT 0-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
17.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
10.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.10.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKLK
16.04.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-4 HT 1-4 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-0
AWAY Kilmarnock
3.06 xG 0.20
82% Ball Possession 18%
32 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
736 Passes 99
89% Pass Accuracy 56%
53 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic cruised past Kilmarnock 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Celtic had 82% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 18%, shots finished 32-5, expected goals 3.06 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Celtic and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Celtic 67%, draw 18%, Kilmarnock 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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