Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 May 2024

Kilmarnock
0-5 HT 0-3
Celtic
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.23
2-3 Goals
42%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
11%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.9pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-14.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.30/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.78
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.5
18.6 Crosses 25.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Kilmarnock vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Celtic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.42 xG 1.75
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
135 Passes 555
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
10.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.10.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKLK
16.04.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-4 HT 1-4 Celtic Celtic İKP
14.01.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKLK

Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-5
AWAY Celtic
0.75 xG 4.60
25% Ball Possession 75%
12 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 9
151 Passes 639
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 43
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic swept aside Kilmarnock 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 25% of the ball to Celtic's 75%, shots finished 12-30, expected goals 0.75 to 4.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.83 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 23%, draw 22%, Celtic 56%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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