Aberdeen 5-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 May 2024

Aberdeen
5-1 HT 0-0
Livingston
📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Aberdeen vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
19%
3.78
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1
14%
21.45
2/2
8%
8.7
2/X
7%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.63/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
-22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
24.4 Crosses 13.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Aberdeen vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Livingston
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.31 xG 1.05
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
312 Passes 190
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
05.08.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.02.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.11.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.08.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 5-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
23.04.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-2 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen cruised past Livingston 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aberdeen and 0.83 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Livingston?

Aberdeen 5-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 58%, draw 22%, Livingston 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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