St. Johnstone 1-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.34
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
14%
6.05
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
0.87/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.04
-32% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
220 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 67%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.2 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ross County
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
217 Passes 222
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
11.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
12.08.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.05.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-3 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
08.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
17.12.2022 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-1
AWAY Ross County
0.58 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 220
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Ross County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 53% of the ball to Ross County's 47%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Ross County.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Ross County?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 34%, draw 30%, Ross County 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ross County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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