Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.74
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
9%
7.14
X/X
12%
5.48
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
24%
4.6
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
29%
+14.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.39/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
+4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.9 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 219
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.01.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.08.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
01.04.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-3 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
08.01.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-3 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
08.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-0
AWAY Motherwell
1.34 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
343 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian ran out comfortable winners over Motherwell 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hibernian had 48% of the ball to Motherwell's 52%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernian and 1.67 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Hibernian 3-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 34%, draw 23%, Motherwell 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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