St. Mirren 3-0 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.88
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.76
X/2
19%
5.54
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
12%
3.66
2/X
11%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.16/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.04
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 71%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
26.9 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 326
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-3 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
08.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
06.08.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
06.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.02.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
3-0
AWAY Hibernian
1.14 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
177 Passes 253
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren swept aside Hibernian 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 43% of the ball to Hibernian's 57%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.14 to 1.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hibernian.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Mirren and 1.83 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Hibernian?

St. Mirren 3-0 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 34%, draw 29%, Hibernian 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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