Ross County 2-2 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 19 May 2024

Ross County
2-2 HT 1-1
Aberdeen
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Ross County vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.22
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
19%
5.23
X/2
11%
5.9
X/X
7%
5.59
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
17%
3.79
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
0.99/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.31
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.8 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ross County vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 Passes 268
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
02.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
24.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
14.04.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
02.01.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 2-2 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
2-2
AWAY Aberdeen
2.30 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
209 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County and Aberdeen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ross County had 44% of the ball to Aberdeen's 56%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.30 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ross County and 2.00 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Ross County 2-2 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ross County 38%, draw 28%, Aberdeen 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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