Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 31 Aug 2024

Ross County
0-1 HT 0-0
Aberdeen
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Ross County vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
12%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.42
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
11%
8.17
X/2
15%
4.12
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.46
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-6.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 55%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.08/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.92
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
194 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.7 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Ross County vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.01 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 267
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
30.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
02.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
27.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
24.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
14.04.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP

Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
0-1
AWAY Aberdeen
1.05 xG 0.35
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 12
150 Passes 394
56% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Ross County 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ross County had 35% of the ball to Aberdeen's 65%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.05 to 0.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ross County.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ross County and 2.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ross County 29%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2024
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