St. Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
19.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.08 — our 25% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.41
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
12%
5.87
X/2
12%
4.77
X/X
12%
4.41
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.31
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.21
-25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.9 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
216 Passes 293
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
27.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
09.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
07.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-2 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
01.02.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-2
AWAY Motherwell
0.74 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 13
384 Passes 202
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell nicked a narrow win over St. Johnstone 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 61% of the ball to Motherwell's 39%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.74 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

St. Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 32%, draw 26%, Motherwell 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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