Dundee FC 2-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
9%
4.85
X/2
8%
6.47
X/X
15%
4.56
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.62
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.18/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
-6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.6 Crosses 24.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
241 Passes 220
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
07.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
21.01.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
07.05.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-2
AWAY St. Mirren
1.76 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
190 Passes 181
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC and St. Mirren shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 51% of the ball to St. Mirren's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.76 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee FC and 1.50 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Dundee FC 2-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 40%, draw 29%, St. Mirren 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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