Dundee FC 1-3 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.89
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
8%
5.32
X/2
12%
5.56
X/X
14%
3.72
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.15
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.2 Crosses 26.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
225 Passes 248
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
11.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
12.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
21.01.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
07.05.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
09.03.2022 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-3
AWAY St. Mirren
0.79 xG 1.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
287 Passes 167
68% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren saw off Dundee FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; St. Mirren found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee FC had 58% of the ball to St. Mirren's 42%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.79 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.17 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Dundee FC 1-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 37%, draw 29%, St. Mirren 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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