Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
St. Johnstone
İKP
0-1
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
İKP
2-0
HT 0-0
St. Johnstone
İKP
0-1
HT 0-0
Aberdeen
İKP
Aberdeen 1-0 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen squeezed past St. Johnstone 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Aberdeen had 65% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 35%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 3.34 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aberdeen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberdeen and 0.50 for St. Johnstone.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?
Aberdeen 1-0 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 50%, draw 23%, St. Johnstone 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.