Aberdeen 0-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.4
X/1
16%
3.66
X/2
7%
10.05
X/X
16%
4.12
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
10%
9.05
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 68%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
24.5 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.94 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 204
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.01.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
08.10.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
07.01.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
20.08.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
11.05.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
0-2
AWAY St. Johnstone
2.15 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 7
206 Passes 168
62% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone beat Aberdeen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Aberdeen had 54% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.15 to 1.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aberdeen.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberdeen and 0.33 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?

Aberdeen 0-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 51%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aberdeen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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