Hearts 1-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2024

Hearts
1-1 HT 1-1
Hibernian
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hearts vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
10%
7.32
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.17
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
+22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.1 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hearts vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hibernian
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
240 Passes 239
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.10.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
15.04.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKK
02.01.2023 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP

Hearts 1-1 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-1
AWAY Hibernian
1.70 xG 2.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
333 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Hibernian shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hearts had 56% of the ball to Hibernian's 44%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.70 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hearts and 0.67 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Hibernian?

Hearts 1-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hearts 46%, draw 27%, Hibernian 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5
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