Livingston 1-3 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2024

Livingston
1-3 HT 1-0
Motherwell
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Livingston vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.49
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
5.77
X/2
11%
4.84
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.51
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.21/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
-14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 68%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.6 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Livingston vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
234 Passes 236
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-1 HT 3-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
07.10.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
24.05.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
08.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.01.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
20.08.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 1-3 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-3
AWAY Motherwell
0.92 xG 1.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
207 Passes 363
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell beat Livingston 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livingston had 40% of the ball to Motherwell's 60%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Livingston and 1.50 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Motherwell?

Livingston 1-3 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Livingston 34%, draw 26%, Motherwell 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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