Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2024

Kilmarnock
1-2 HT 1-0
Rangers
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Kilmarnock vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.45
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
19.4
X/1
5%
13.4
X/2
12%
3.5
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.81
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
18.25
Value flag · 2/X at 18.25 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.05/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.69
+11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +28%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
183 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 82%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
15.5 Crosses 23.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kilmarnock vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 2.10
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
179 Passes 544
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.01.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
04.03.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.01.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
06.08.2022 Rangers Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
13.02.2021 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-2
AWAY Rangers
1.36 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
195 Passes 314
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past Kilmarnock 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 44% of the ball to Rangers's 56%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.36 to 0.73 — on chances, Kilmarnock could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 2.00 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Kilmarnock 1-2 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 21%, draw 24%, Rangers 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5
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