Celtic 3-0 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 May 2024

Celtic
3-0 HT 2-0
Hearts
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Celtic vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.47
2-3 Goals
38%
2.25
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
16%
4.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.38
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
20%
3.67
X/2
6%
24.0
X/X
8%
10.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
7%
16.2
2/X
7%
23.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-13.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.70/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.60
+31% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
530 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
44.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
28.1 Crosses 11.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Celtic vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hearts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 0.72
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
515 Passes 235
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-2 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.10.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-4 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
11.03.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKK
08.03.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP

Celtic 3-0 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
3-0
AWAY Hearts
2.75 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 8
399 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic cruised past Hearts 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 60% of the ball to Hearts's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.75 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celtic and 1.00 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Hearts?

Celtic 3-0 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celtic 62%, draw 22%, Hearts 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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