Ross County 2-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.28
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
17%
6.49
X/2
13%
5.35
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.25
2/X
7%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.00/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.96
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.3 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 365
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.03.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
31.10.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
31.01.2023 Ross County Ross County 1-1 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
08.11.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
01.10.2022 Ross County Ross County 0-2 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
2-1
AWAY Hibernian
1.72 xG 2.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
230 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County squeezed past Hibernian 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Ross County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Ross County had 42% of the ball to Hibernian's 58%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.72 to 2.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hibernian.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Hibernian?

Ross County 2-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ross County 34%, draw 26%, Hibernian 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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