AFC Telford United 4-3 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
122 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
04.02.2020 Altrincham Altrincham 5-2 HT 2-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
01.02.2020 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-2 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İCON
18.04.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İBSL
12.11.2014 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
04.02.2014 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
4-3
AWAY Altrincham
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United squeezed past Altrincham 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 44% of the ball to Altrincham's 56%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.00 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Altrincham?

AFC Telford United 4-3 Altrincham in the England - FA Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 44%, draw 27%, Altrincham 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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