Harborough Town 1-2 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Dec 2025

Harborough Town
1-2 HT 0-1
Carlisle United
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Harborough Town vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harborough Town v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United squeezed past Harborough Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Carlisle United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Carlisle United?

Harborough Town 1-2 Carlisle United in the England - FA Cup on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 38%, draw 22%, Carlisle United 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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