Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

Everton (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
Arsenal (K)
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
9.57
Draw
27%
5.28
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
8%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
16%
+11.0pp
61%
Away Win
77%
-15.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.71/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.53
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -33%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
210 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 84%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.2
12.7 Crosses 25.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1

Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.40 xG 2.05
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
238 Passes 508
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.03.2025 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
06.10.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
21.04.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
18.11.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
23.02.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL

Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-3
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.28 xG 3.02
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 12
227 Passes 608
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 53
4 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) got the better of Everton (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Everton (K) had 29% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 71%, shots finished 3-22, expected goals 0.28 to 3.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton (K) and 2.17 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 12%, draw 27%, Arsenal (K) 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →