Mallorca 3-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.69
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.28
X/2
11%
6.22
X/X
14%
3.66
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.77
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.05/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
-23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.4 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Elche
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.75 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 276
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
10.10.2022 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
16.04.2022 Elche Elche 3-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
07.11.2021 Mallorca Mallorca 2-2 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
03.03.2019 Mallorca Mallorca 1-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
16.09.2018 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 0-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
3-1
AWAY Elche
2.44 xG 0.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 1
339 Passes 482
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mallorca got the better of Elche 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca had 42% of the ball to Elche's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.44 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 1.50 for Elche.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Elche?

Mallorca 3-1 Elche in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 44%, draw 29%, Elche 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mallorca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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