Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
3-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid edged past Valencia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Atletico Madrid had 46% of the ball to Valencia's 54%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.01 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.50 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Valencia?
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 76%, draw 14%, Valencia 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.