Valencia 0-3 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2025

Valencia
0-3 HT 0-2
Atletico Madrid
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.17
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
10%
7.52
X/2
15%
4.52
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.8
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.30/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.08
+9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.3 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
28.01.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
16.09.2023 Valencia Valencia 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
18.03.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
29.08.2022 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
22.01.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-2 HT 0-2 Valencia Valencia İS1

Valencia 0-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
0-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.86 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
482 Passes 507
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
35 Box Touches 26
39 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid cruised past Valencia 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Valencia had 49% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 51%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.86 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valencia and 2.00 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?

Valencia 0-3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Valencia 29%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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