Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.48
2-3 Goals
35%
2.26
4-5 Goals
26%
2.34
6+ Goals
18%
4.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
16.1
1/2
8%
18.1
1/X
7%
24.7
X/1
7%
21.1
X/2
16%
4.05
X/X
7%
10.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
36%
1.39
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
Value flag · 2/X at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.9pp
60%
Away Win
75%
-15.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 79%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.05/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.12
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 552 · 87%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
18.1 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 2.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 512
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 1-2 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
30.03.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
04.01.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
01.03.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
01.10.2017 Barcelona Barcelona 3-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
14.05.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-4 HT 0-2 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-2
AWAY Barcelona
0.45 xG 1.42
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
184 Passes 588
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona got the better of Las Palmas 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Las Palmas had 29% of the ball to Barcelona's 71%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.45 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 2.00 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Barcelona?

Las Palmas 0-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 18%, draw 23%, Barcelona 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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