Barcelona vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Barcelona
İS1
3-0
HT 0-0
Las Palmas
İS1
1-4
HT 0-2
Barcelona
İS1
5-0
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
İS1
Barcelona 1-2 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Las Palmas edged past Barcelona 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
On the day, Barcelona had 70% of the ball to Las Palmas's 30%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 2.30 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barcelona.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Barcelona and 0.50 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Las Palmas?
Barcelona 1-2 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 67%, draw 18%, Las Palmas 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona), BTTS No went the other way.