Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Nov 2024

Deportivo Alaves
1-1 HT 0-0
Leganes
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.38
Over 2.5
41%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
7.22
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.4
X/1
26%
4.03
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
10%
3.79
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
10.15
2/X
10%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Alaves v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.54/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.25
-13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.7 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Deportivo Alaves vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leganes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
269 Passes 271
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.04.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
13.08.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS2
29.02.2020 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
13.12.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS1
07.04.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-1 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
23.11.2018 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves
1-1
AWAY Leganes
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 8
277 Passes 179
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves and Leganes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 60% of the ball to Leganes's 40%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.00 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Leganes?

Deportivo Alaves 1-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 52%, draw 28%, Leganes 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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