Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Nov 2024

Espanyol
3-1 HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Espanyol vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.78
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
14%
7.53
X/2
14%
5.18
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.38
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.53
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.0 Crosses 11.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Espanyol vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
360 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 1-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
03.01.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 3-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İSPK
13.08.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-2 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
10.04.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
17.12.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
19.07.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
3-1
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.86 xG 1.61
21% Ball Possession 79%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
120 Passes 648
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol saw off Celta Vigo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Espanyol had 21% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 79%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.86 to 1.61 — on chances, Celta Vigo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Espanyol and 1.50 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?

Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 30%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo 44%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo)
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