Valladolid 0-5 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 30 Nov 2024

Valladolid
0-5 HT 0-3
Atletico Madrid
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
13.1
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
10%
23.0
X/1
12%
15.25
X/2
15%
3.88
X/X
15%
6.32
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.98
2/X
4%
21.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.1pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 69%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
1.09/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.92
-3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.1 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.92 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.04.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 2-5 HT 1-3 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
21.01.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 3-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
22.05.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
05.12.2020 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
20.06.2020 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
06.10.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1

Valladolid 0-5 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-5
AWAY Atletico Madrid
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
410 Passes 532
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Valladolid 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Valladolid had 45% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valladolid and 2.17 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid?

Valladolid 0-5 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 23%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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