Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
1-5
HT 1-4
Villarreal
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal nicked a narrow win over Rayo Vallecano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 51% of the ball to Villarreal's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.63 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.83 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 41%, draw 29%, Villarreal 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.